Financial News & Market Analysis

Trading is one of the most difficult jobs ever because you need to constantly adapt to unforeseeable external factors that affect your initial judgement without emotional attachment and it’s also the only job… more »

Yesterday FED hiked rates by the expected 50 basis points to 4.50%, but surprised by hiking also the terminal rate to 5.1% at their last dot plot in September. They also raised the inflation forecast for the end of 2023… more »

Societe Generale Research expects a choppy price action in the near-term: "Thanksgiving and the World Cup are removing both liquidity and energy from markets this week. In FX, Tuesday is the mirror image of Monday… more »

Last week Bitcoin lost over 20% in two days only, from 21000 to 15700. Other broader crypto markets were also sold off heavily: Ethereum dropped 15% touching 1330$, also Dogecoin, Cardano, Ripple which lost double… more »

The US dollar hit fresh lows during Powell's conference but reversed when he said that “the ultimate level of rates will be higher” than previously anticipated. That means the +5% rate is back on the… more »

The Good Stimulus and a looser monetary policy help China to have a solid COVID-19 recovery with moderate inflation, much lower than the European and US nations. China's interest rate is on a long-term downtrend… more »

We think today that Fed and Mr. Powell will search sooner rather than later for a pivot point policy to change things because we already have a higher restrictive economic environment. We should remember that… more »

"The UK rate market is expecting the BoE to deliver a larger 125bps or 150bps hike at their next policy meeting on 3rd November, and then to keep raising rates to a peak next year of closer to 5.75% which would be… more »

Energy sector it’s the best performing market sector in 2022 instead of the latest evolution of Oil. Evolution of energy sector its close correlated with war between Russia & Ukraine. But we need to recap… more »

US July CPI +8.5% y/y vs +8.7% expected it's the first good sign about inflation But let's analyze data below: Stocks   are up with large gains SPX over 2.13% and Nasdaq NDQ over 3% Dollar down DXY… more »

After big rates hike by FED and ECB, investors are hoping that in the following year, central banks will start to normalize rates, therefore Stock market show a bounce back (SPX is near 4.000). We think it’s a… more »

The vote was unanimous because FOMC is “strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective”. Spending and Productions have softened but job gains was robust recent months. Balance… more »

Global growth fears are growing immensely this week and recession fears are at top levels, it seems that bust is coming shortly. According to our last market view, an economic hurricane is coming, and the last week… more »

We analyzed the last week's performance on each asset class and found that the most resilient category from year to date is Energy, REITs and precious metals (instead of the last rally down of Gold). It’s… more »

Prospects of Recessions and GDP Growth We estimate that there will be two quarters with negative growth for the next 15 months. Inflation will exceed wage gains and will reduce real spending. However, a few negative… more »

The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting consensus was for 50bp rate increase because of this week's worst CPI reading, but Fed hiked with 75bp, and market consensus agreed for other future rate increase… more »

Few days ago, most influential people in the world (managers of Big Companies, top academics, leaders in main stream media, central bankers) are gathering to find paths to solve the issues on humanity crisis. more »

You can read all from FED website: May FOMC Meeting 2022 Stocks Are up with 1%, because members of FOMC avoid risks of recessionary environment… more »

"We expect EUR/USD to continue softening in the near term, falling to 1.03 by 3Q22 and perhaps even overshooting to parity as concerns about local geopolitics and commodities intensify meaningfully further," MS… more »