Stock Market News & Analysis
2022 Trading Markets Lesson’s & 2023 Market Expectations
Trading is one of the most difficult jobs ever because you need to constantly adapt to unforeseeable external factors that affect your initial judgement without emotional attachment and it’s also the only job… more »
Fed Powell hike as expected 75bps but sentiment is 💪 Risk-OFF
The US dollar hit fresh lows during Powell's conference but reversed when he said that “the ultimate level of rates will be higher” than previously anticipated. That means the +5% rate is back on the… more »
China Markets: the Good, the Bad & the Ugly
The Good Stimulus and a looser monetary policy help China to have a solid COVID-19 recovery with moderate inflation, much lower than the European and US nations. China's interest rate is on a long-term downtrend… more »
How Close Are We to a Pivot Point on Fed Policy & Stock Markets?
We think today that Fed and Mr. Powell will search sooner rather than later for a pivot point policy to change things because we already have a higher restrictive economic environment. We should remember that… more »
Is still the Energy Sector a Good Bet from Now in perspective of a Market Recessions and the Current Superbuble?
Energy sector it’s the best performing market sector in 2022 instead of the latest evolution of Oil. Evolution of energy sector its close correlated with war between Russia & Ukraine. But we need to recap… more »
How to Protect against Strong Inflationary Environment and Higher Interest Rates?
After big rates hike by FED and ECB, investors are hoping that in the following year, central banks will start to normalize rates, therefore Stock market show a bounce back (SPX is near 4.000). We think it’s a… more »
Rate Hike & Recession Fears are Growing in 2022
The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting consensus was for 50bp rate increase because of this week's worst CPI reading, but Fed hiked with 75bp, and market consensus agreed for other future rate increase… more »
Economic Growth is slowing all around the globe and inflation will grow with a moderate pace
EU inflation is 6.1% and rate hike is mandatory. From the previously forecasted values of 3%, we have a deviation of 3% which is caused by multiple factors: Goldman Sachs also cut their US economic… more »
FOMC Lift rates with only 0.50 % as expected
FOMC Lift rates with only 0.50 % as expected 0.5% increased rates were taken by Markets with lots of optimism because Powell announced 75 BP hikes off the table for next two meetings. Sentiment was RISK-ON, instead… more »
Thoughts about the 2022 Bear Market
I have never seen in 20 years of investing such a confluence of fundamental factors pointing to a bear market scenario for stocks like this year. First, it was the Covid19 pandemic outbreak that disrupted the… more »
FED Rate Hike by 25 Basis Points on Yesterday
The rate hike was priced in and the market was on RISK-ON mode yesterday. Main question for the FED yesterday was, what percent will be the hike? To stop inflation 0.5% was a better idea to hike but voters don't… more »
The Russia-Ukraine War will Dominate Markets this Week
After high Inflation in US and Europe, the Covid-19 pandemic outbreak, a new event like war between two major countries affected the markets. War between Ukraine and Russia pushed this morning Gold over 2000$, Oil… more »
ECB Valleroy: The decision on rate hikes is not needed before June meeting
Decision on partial troop withdrawal has been taken added some optimism on markets (SP500 +1,58% NDQ +2,58) but we still have questions about inflation and growth Oil & gold come back to previous levels. more »
Inflation is growing: CPI=7,5% with 0,2% over estimate - Stocks Down - Risk Off
Yesterday was a special day for trading markets because of rising in CPI. Stocks were up with over 2% percent at the start of the US session but reversed sharply with over 5%. Inflation surprised markets expectations… more »
Risk Tone is improving this week
After the meeting between Putin and Macron, the markets have regained some losses from the first month of the year. Macron: "Putin told me that he would not be behind any escalation in Ukraine". Instead, the meeting… more »
Risk-off tone will persist in February: ADP & EU Inflation in focus
The ADP job data surprised to the downside this month: - 301K versus +200K estimate. All economic branches were down this month: The fell was the largest since April 2020 because Omicron outbreak, according to FED… more »
Optimism didn't last on Markets after China lower Rates
SPX gave back the gains at the end of the day, because investors lost conviction that an early rally had legs. Risk-On sentiment didn't last after China decreased rates. Fears of inflation and higher interest… more »