Fundamental it's expected rate hike in Switzerland and persistent risk-Off sentiment it's a good framework to take a short position
Comercial Banks Positions
-> Credit Suisse discusses its expectations for next week's policy SNB September policy meeting. "For the upcoming SNB meeting on Sep 22, we see a risk that the central bank might surprise the market with a larger-than-expected interest rate hike. SNB President Jordan's speech at Jackson Hole struck a hawkish tone as he voiced concerns about long-term inflation upside risks," CS notes. "Therefore, we stick with our 0.9400 EURCHF target and would consider our view incorrect at levels above 1.0060,"
->Danske Research discusses its expectations for next week's SNB policy meeting. "EUR/CHF moved sharply lower yesterday afternoon, briefly dropping below 0.9550, reaching the lowest level since the removal of the floor in January 2015. We continue to expect the SNB to follow the ECB in terms of rate hikes to curb underlying inflation pressures," Danske notes. "We expect SNB to hike rates by 75bp on Thursday 22 September followed by a 50bp hike in December. Markets are currently pricing 58 and we acknowledge that it is a close call between 50bp and 75bp. In our base case, we expect EUR/CHF to move lower on announcement," Danske adds.
->Barclays comments "We expect the SNB to deliver a 100bp hike, more than the consensus forecast (50bp) and market pricing (75bp). President Jordan has been hawkish. His Jackson Hole speech outlined reasons for structural risks to a higher inflation . He made further hawkish comments after the ECB meeting. We remain short EURCHF (target 0.95) as the SNB out-hawks the ECB," Barclays added 3 minutes ago.
Also technically we just have a breakout with growing bearish volumes SL 0.965 TP 0.933
